Bitunix Analyst: Moody's Recession Warning Intensifies as Bitcoin Tests Major Resistance – Risk Management Advised

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According to Followin, August 11 – Moody's has issued a warning that over 50% of industries are showing signs of layoffs, indicating heightened economic transition risks. Last month's non-farm payrolls rose by a mere 73,000 – significantly below the 100,000 consensus forecast – while May's figures underwent a stunning revision from 144,000 down to 19,000. Should employment data face further downward adjustments, safe-haven sentiment could rapidly intensify. Such macroeconomic uncertainty is amplifying short-term volatility and capital rotation across crypto assets.


Bitcoin has surged from $112,000 to test the $122,000-$123,000 high-density supply zone, where substantial selling pressure has emerged. A confirmed breakout with volume expansion would target the next resistance clusters at $124,000 and $127,000.

Bitunix analysts recommend a confirmation-waiting strategy for BTC at current levels. A decisive volume-backed breakout with daily closing confirmation above $120,000 would signal upside targets at $124,000 and $127,000. Conversely, rejection at $120,000 or formation of long upper wicks could trigger a retest of the $116,000-$114,000 support band. Investors should maintain strict risk controls with per-position stop losses not exceeding 5%-8% of net capital, employing phased entry and trailing stop protocols. Market participants must closely monitor tomorrow's CPI release and subsequent Moody's reports, as macroeconomic developments could trigger abrupt directional shifts.

Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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