Dogecoin: Risk of Profit-Taking... What's the Next Support Level?

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The cryptocurrency market has been showing strength recently, and Doge is no exception. This meme coin rose by more than 16% last week, but has been trading sideways over the past day.

Some on-chain and chart signals suggest that sellers are preparing to realize profits. This could lead to a short-term pause or correction. Whether DOGE continues to rise or falls depends on key support levels.

Increasing Profit-Taking Pressure

The percentage of addresses in profit for DOGE recently reached about 84%, which is the same level before the price dropped from $0.24 to $0.19 on July 27th. Historically, when many holders are in profit, some tend to cash out.

Doge price and percentage of addresses in profit:
Doge price and percentage of addresses in profit: glassnode

Supporting evidence is the spot net inflow, which switched from -$52 million on August 10th to +$2.7 million on August 11th. More DOGE is moving to exchanges, indicating traders are preparing to sell.

Increase in DOGE spot inflows
Increase in DOGE spot inflows: Coinglass

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SOPR, Correction from Profit-Taking?

The Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) shows whether coins are being sold at a profit or loss. A value above 1.0 means holders are realizing profits.

Doge price and rising SOPR
Doge price and rising SOPR: glassnode

On August 10th, DOGE's SOPR rose to 1.045, similar to levels observed in late July. This was followed by a quick correction. This suggests the market may be approaching another short-term correction point. The rising SOPR also aligns with the selling-based narrative.

Key Levels on Chart to Determine Doge Price Direction?

On the 4-hour chart, DOGE price is hovering near $0.235, just below the downtrend line of a descending triangle pattern. This setup indicates short-term weakness and suggests entering a correction.

Fibonacci levels serve as the base of the descending triangle, appearing as key support levels. The Doge price has broken through several levels coinciding with $0.23. If $0.235 breaks, traders should carefully watch the next hints:

Doge price analysis
Doge price analysis: TradingView
  • Support level to watch: $0.22 โ€” this level was previously strongly maintained. If maintained again, buyers might intervene.
  • If it breaks, the Doge price could go lower.
  • Bullish trigger: Breaking $0.24~$0.246 would break the triangle and provide an opportunity to challenge the bullish market again.

Breaking $0.24 could invalidate the bearish triangle and maintain bullish momentum. Currently, $0.22 is the critical line that could determine whether DOGE continues to rise or sees further decline.

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Disclaimer: The content above is only the author's opinion which does not represent any position of Followin, and is not intended as, and shall not be understood or construed as, investment advice from Followin.
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